Financhill
Sell
27

AAP Quote, Financials, Valuation and Earnings

Last price:
$44.73
Seasonality move :
3.9%
Day range:
$43.78 - $45.53
52-week range:
$35.59 - $88.56
Dividend yield:
2.24%
P/E ratio:
61.22x
P/S ratio:
0.22x
P/B ratio:
1.03x
Volume:
1.5M
Avg. volume:
2M
1-year change:
-27.1%
Market cap:
$2.7B
Revenue:
$11.3B
EPS (TTM):
$0.73

Analysts' Opinion

  • Consensus Rating
    Advance Auto Parts has received a consensus rating of Hold. The company's average rating is a Hold based on 2 Buy ratings, 23 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell rating.
  • Price Target Downside
    According to analysts' consensus price target of $43.71, Advance Auto Parts has an estimated downside of -2.18% from its current price of $44.69.
  • Price Target Upside
    According to analysts, the highest upside price target is $65.00 representing -100% upside increase from its current price of $44.69.

Fair Value

  • According to the consensus of 26 analysts, Advance Auto Parts has -2.18% downside to fair value with a price target of $43.71 per share.

AAP vs. S&P 500

  • Over the past 5 trading days, Advance Auto Parts has underperformed the S&P 500 by -4.75% suggesting its relative strength compared to the major market average is weak at this time.

Share Buyback

  • Advance Auto Parts does have a share repurchase program in place at this time. The scale of a buyback program can materially affect share price and usually results in a higher earnings per share, all else being equal, when the share count drops.

Revenue Growth

  • Advance Auto Parts revenues have been falling on a year-over-year basis for 3 quarters in a row. In the most recent quarter Advance Auto Parts reported revenues of $2.1B.

Earnings Growth

  • Advance Auto Parts earnings have been falling on a year-over-year basis for 2 quarters in a row. In the most recent quarter Advance Auto Parts reported earnings per share of -$0.10.
Enterprise value:
4B
EV / Invested capital:
--
Price / LTM sales:
0.22x
EV / EBIT:
19.32x
EV / Revenue:
0.32x
PEG ratio (5yr expected):
--
EV / Free cash flow:
18.27x
Price / Operating cash flow:
12.23x
Enterprise value / EBITDA:
7.63x
Gross Profit (TTM):
$4.9B
Return On Assets:
0.36%
Net Income Margin (TTM):
0.36%
Return On Equity:
1.7%
Return On Invested Capital:
1%
Operating Margin:
0.02%
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Income Statement
Revenue $11.1B $10.8B $12.3B $2.2B $2.1B
Gross Profit $4.9B $4.5B $4.9B $817.6M $907.9M
Operating Income $672.1M $257.6M $191.3M -$78.6M $403K
EBITDA $929.6M $531.4M $523.7M -$35.2M $52.6M
Diluted EPS $7.86 $2.87 $0.73 -$1.05 -$0.10
Period Ending 2020-09-30 2021-09-30 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Balance Sheet
Current Assets $6.4B $6.2B $6.2B $6.3B $7.5B
Total Assets $12B $11.9B $12.1B $12.2B $12.5B
Current Liabilities $4.6B $5B $5.4B $5.1B $5.6B
Total Liabilities $8.2B $8.7B $9.4B $9.6B $9.9B
Total Equity $3.8B $3.2B $2.7B $2.6B $2.6B
Total Debt $1B $1B $1.4B $1.8B $1.8B
Trailing 12 Months Fiscal Quarters
Period Ending 2022-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30 2023-09-30 2024-09-30
Cash Flow Statement
Cash Flow Operations $665.2M $282.3M $416.5M $196M $70.1M
Cash From Investing -$430.3M -$277.8M -$174.8M -$41.9M -$44.8M
Cash From Financing -$641.2M $129.2M -$72.5M -$109.9M -$14.7M
Free Cash Flow $232.9M $15.8M $218.5M $166.7M $32.9M
AAP
Sector
Market Cap
$2.7B
$468M
Price % of 52-Week High
50.46%
70.51%
Dividend Yield
2.24%
0%
Shareholder Yield
3.61%
3.59%
1-Year Price Total Return
-27.1%
-12.36%
Beta (5-Year)
1.162
0.958
Dividend yield:
2.24%
Annualized payout:
$2.00
Payout ratio:
136.46%
Growth streak:
0 years

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Technicals

8-day SMA
Sell
Level $46.19
200-day SMA
Sell
Level $55.05
Bollinger Bands (100)
Buy
Level 37.63 - 46.51
Chaikin Money Flow
Sell
Level -52.4M
20-day SMA
Sell
Level $44.97
Relative Strength Index (RSI14)
Buy
Level 50.06
ADX Line
Sell
Level 20.16
Williams %R
Neutral
Level -69.7946
50-day SMA
Buy
Level $42.69
MACD (12, 26)
Buy
Level 0.77
25-day Aroon Oscillator
Buy
Level 40
On Balance Volume
Sell
Level -49.8M

Financial Scores

Sell
Altman Z-Score (Annual)
Level (1.7995)
Sell
CA Score (Annual)
Level (-1.3822)
Buy
Beneish M-Score (Annual)
Level (-2.3962)
Sell
Momentum Score
Level (3)
Sell
Ohlson Score
Level (8.9149)
Buy
Piotroski F Score (Annual)
Level (6)
Buy
Quality Ratio Score
Level (6)
Buy
Fundamental Score
Level (8)

Revenue Forecast

Earnings per Share Forecast

Company Profile

Advance Auto Parts is a leading auto parts retailer in North America with more than 4,000 store and branch locations. About 55% of the firm’s sales are geared toward the professional channel, with the remaining 45% going to the do-it-yourself market. Through its vast store footprint and distribution network, Advance manages thousands of stock-keeping units conducive to various vehicle makes and models. The retailer primarily competes on the basis of inventory availability and service speed, making the operating efficiency of its hub and spoke distribution model critical to meeting customer needs.

Stock Forecast FAQ

In the current month, AAP has received 2 Buy ratings 23 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell ratings. The AAP average analyst price target in the past 3 months is $43.71.

  • Where Will Advance Auto Parts Stock Be In 1 Year?

    According to analysts, the consensus estimate is that Advance Auto Parts share price will drop to $43.71 per share over the next 12 months.

  • What Do Analysts Say About Advance Auto Parts?

    Analysts are divided on their view about Advance Auto Parts share price and where it will be in the next 12 months. The majority of analysts rate the stock a Buy. However, a smaller subset of analysts suggest that Advance Auto Parts is a Sell and believe this share price will rise from its current level to $17.00.

  • What Is Advance Auto Parts's Price Target?

    The price target for Advance Auto Parts over the next 1-year time period is forecast to be $43.71 according to 26 Wall Street analysts, 2 of them rate the stock a Buy, 1 rates the stock a Sell, and 23 analysts rate the stock a Hold.

  • Is AAP A Buy, Sell Or Hold?

    According to Wall Street analysts, the consensus rating for Advance Auto Parts is a Hold. 23 of 26 analysts rate the stock a Hold at this time.

  • How Can I Buy Shares Of AAP?

    You can purchase shares of Advance Auto Parts via an online brokerage firm such as TD Ameritrade.com, thinkorswim.com, e-trade.com, TastyTrade.com, or Schwab.com. Many other digital online brokerages exist such as RobinHood and Webull where you can purchase Advance Auto Parts shares.

  • What Is The Advance Auto Parts Share Price Today?

    Advance Auto Parts was last trading at $44.73 per share. This represents the most recent stock quote for Advance Auto Parts. Yesterday, Advance Auto Parts closed at $44.69 per share.

  • How To Buy Advance Auto Parts Stock Online?

    In order to purchase Advance Auto Parts stock online, open a brokerage account, deposit funds into the account, and select an order type to purchase shares whether it be market or limit.

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